Super Tuesday Key Races 2024: Live Election Results

Super Tuesday Key Races 2024: Live Election Results

March 7, 2024
6 min read

Delegates won so far&nbsp›

On Super Tuesday, the biggest night on this year’s primary calendar, 854 Republican delegates are at stake across 15 states. This accounts for more than a third of all delegates available in the race for the nomination. Follow live updates from our reporters.

Delegates won so far
Candidate March 5 Overall Chart of overall delegate count

Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump

Donald J. TrumpD. TrumpTrump

758 1,031

Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley

Nikki HaleyN. HaleyHaley

46 89

94% of Super Tuesday delegates allocated (804 of 854)

Ala.AlaskaArk.Calif.Colo.TexasUtahVt.MaineMass.Minn.N.C.Okla.Tenn.Va.Ala.AlaskaArk.Calif.Colo.TexasUtahVt.MaineMass.Minn.N.C.Okla.Tenn.Va.

Winner

Results by state

Winner

Analysis from our reporters

“Uncommitted” made up nearly 19% of the vote in Minnesota. Seven other states so far have had option to vote uncommitted on their primary ballots. 12h ago

Table showing the share and count of uncommitted votes in eight states. In order from largest to smallest share, the states listed are Minnesota, Michigan, North Carolina, Massachusetts, Colorado, Tennessee, Alabama and Iowa.

Republican Steve Garvey is the second candidate to advance to the general, along with Democrat Adam Schiff. Here’s where each candidate is ahead. 23h ago

Map showing Schiff with more support along the coast and Garvey with more support in the rest of the state.

Precincts with a higher share of young people were more likely to vote “uncommitted,” part of a protest of Biden’s Gaza policy. 23h ago

Chart plotting Minnesota precincts’ uncommitted vote share by share of residents who are 18 to 34 years old.

Adam Schiff has advanced to the general election. The top two candidates move on regardless of party, so he will run against whoever wins second. March 5, 2024

Table showing the votes reported in the California Senate primary. With 36% of the votes tallied, Schiff had 36.9 percent of the vote, Garvey had 29.6 percent, Porter had 14.8 percent and Lee had 6.8 percent.

Trump has won California and its 169 delegates, the biggest Republican prize of the night. March 5, 2024

Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the California Republican Primary.

Shomari Figures and Anthony Daniels have advanced to a runoff. The district is held by a Republican but now favors Democrats after being redrawn. March 5, 2024

Map showing Daniels and Figures each winning a handful of counties in the district.

Biden has won Minnesota. A quarter of results are left to count, but the “uncommitted” vote share could be higher than it was in Michigan last week. March 5, 2024

Table showing the votes reported in Minnesota. With 74% of the votes tallied, Biden has about 69% of the votes, and about 20% have voted

The district was redrawn and now encompasses areas represented by two sitting Republicans. Their support is split down the middle of the new district. March 5, 2024

Map showing Carl winning in the district's western counties and Moore winning in the eastern counties.

Polls close at 11 p.m. ET in California, but full results won’t be available for a while. Here are the key races to watch. March 5, 2024

Table with the headline “Primaries to watch in California” showing a Senate race to fill Dianne Feinstein's seat, and 12 House races. Five open House seats are in solidly blue districts, six are rated as tossups, and one is in a solidly red district left vacant by Kevin McCarthy.

We’ve published a new analysis showing support for Trump and Haley from different groups, based on precinct results in four states. March 5, 2024

Table showing Trump leading in both lower-income and higher-income areas in North Carolina, Oklahoma and Minnesota. In higher-income areas in Virginia, Haley is leading by an estimated 11 point margin.

Haley has won Vermont, the first state (in addition to Washington, D.C.) where she has defeated Trump this primary season. March 5, 2024

Graphic announcing that Nikki Haley is the winner of the Vermont Republican Primary.

In an analysis based on 50% of Vermont towns, Haley’s greatest support has come from those with high shares of college-educated voters. March 5, 2024

Chart showing that Haley is leading in Vermont towns where there is a higher share of voters with a college degree.

Our estimates now give Haley an almost certain chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024

Chart showing Haley's chance of winning increasing from about 30 percent to more than 95 percent over the course of election night, and Trump's chance decreasing from about 70 percent to less than one percent.

Colin Allred leads in the race to decide who will face Senator Ted Cruz, but he is underperforming along the border. He needs 50% to avoid a runoff. March 5, 2024

Map showing the results in Texas counties, with Allred ahead in most of the state but trailing in counties close to the southwest border with Mexico.

Democrat Josh Stein and Republican Mark Robinson won their respective primaries. The general election is expected to be highly competitive. March 5, 2024

Graphic showing that Josh Stein and Mark Robinson have won their respective primaries.

We’ve published new estimates that show Haley’s chance of winning Vermont. March 5, 2024

Chart showing Haley's probability of winning Vermont at 74 percent.

Trump has won Colorado. He is on track to win nearly all counties, though our estimates show Haley taking Denver County. March 5, 2024

Map showing partial results for the Republican presidential primary in Colorado. Trump is ahead in most counties that have reported.

About half the vote still remains, but Tony Gonzales, the Republican incumbent, needs to win more than 50% in his primary to avoid a runoff. March 5, 2024

Table with the headline

The A.P. has called Massachusetts for Trump. We currently estimate that he will win by more than 20 points. March 5, 2024

Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the Massachusetts Republican Primary.

With just 1% of votes in, Trump’s reported lead in Massachusetts is +10 points. But we think the remaining votes favor him even more. March 5, 2024

Map showing the estimated votes remaining in Massachusetts. Dots on the map are sized proportionally to a candidate’s estimated lead in those remaining.

Alabama polls closed at 8 p.m. ET, and initial votes are coming in. We’re watching two House seats affected by redistricting. March 5, 2024

Table with the headline

A candidate’s margin in the reported results tends to swing as different areas release votes. But our estimates still show a tight race in Vermont. March 5, 2024

Chart showing the reported results in Vermont and our final margin estimate over time. As of 8:23 p.m. Eastern, the reported results showed Trump with a 2.8 margin, and our estimates for the final margin showed Haley up by 1.5 points.

The A.P. has called North Carolina for Trump. A call with a small share of votes reported often means it was based on polls and other data. March 5, 2024

Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the North Carolina Republican Primary.

Most Texas polls close at 8 p.m. ET, but some western counties close at 9 p.m. ET. Here are the congressional races to keep an eye on. March 5, 2024

Table with the headline “Primaries to watch in Texas” showing the Democratic race to challenge Senator Ted Cruz in November, as well as five House races. Two house seats are in solidly red districts, one is rated solidly blue, and two districts have challengers to incumbents.

Our estimates show a very close race between Trump and Haley in Vermont. March 5, 2024

Chart with the headline “Estimating the final vote shares for Trump and Haley” shows the range of estimates for the final vote share for each candidate. Our best estimate for Haley’s vote share in Virginia is 49 percent, but our estimates range from 36 to 62 percent.

The A.P. has called Virginia for Trump. March 5, 2024

Graphic announcing that Donald J. Trump is the winner of the Virginia Republican Primary.

Polls close at 7:30 p.m. ET in North Carolina, one of five states also holding nonpresidential primaries today. Here’s what we’re watching. March 5, 2024

Table with the headline “Primaries to watch in North Carolina” showing that there is a high profile primary for the Governor as well as for six House districts.

The first results are in from the Republican primary in Virginia. Early returns can be misleading until an area has reported most of its votes. March 5, 2024

Map showing the early results for the Republican presidential primary in Virginia.

Biden has won Iowa. The state party is releasing results from its mail-in ballot caucus. March 5, 2024

Graphic announcing that Joseph R. Biden Jr. is the winner of the Iowa Democratic Primary.

We’re publishing our live estimates, known as the Needle, for the Republican presidential primaries tonight. They’ll go live when first votes are reported. March 5, 2024

Diagram with a guide to reading our needle chart shows a chart within a table that places with our current best estimate of the final vote, between a range of estimates. These values are also listed next to the chart in the table.

More than one-third of Republican delegates will be awarded tonight, but not enough for Trump, the overwhelming favorite, to win the nomination. March 5, 2024

Chart with the headline “Republican delegates awarded Tuesday” showing the delegates awarded by each state on Tuesday, ranging from 17 delegates in Vermont to 169 delegates in California.

Sixteen states are reporting presidential results tonight, and five also hold state primary elections today. We expect first results after 6 p.m. ET. March 5, 2024

Map with the headline “States reporting results on Tuesday” showing the states that are reporting presidential results only (Alabama, Arkansas, California, Texas and North Carolina), and states that are reporting presidential, state and congressional races (Alaska Republican Caucus, Colorado, Iowa Democratic Caucus, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota , Oklahoma, Tennessee, Utah, Vermont and Virginia.) American Samoa Democrats are also holding a caucus.

IowaAla.Ark.Calif.Colo.TexasUtahVt.MaineMass.Minn.N.C.Okla.Tenn.Va.IowaAla.Ark.Calif.Colo.TexasUtahVt.MaineMass.Minn.N.C.Okla.Tenn.Va.

Winner

Results by state

Winner

  • Open Primary

    Advanced to general

    Garvey and Schiff

    52% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    O’Neill and Weatherman

    >95% of votes in

  • Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    Daniels and Figures

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    Dobson and Brewbaker

    >95% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    27% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    58% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    54% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    31% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    Advanced to general

    Whitesides and Garcia

    67% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    Advanced to general

    Friedman

    69% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    54% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    Advanced to general

    Calvert and Rollins

    53% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    Advanced to general

    Steel

    65% of votes in

  • Open Primary

    Advanced to general

    Baugh

    65% of votes in

  • Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Rep. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    McDowell and Walker

    >95% of votes in

  • Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Rep. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    Knott and Daughtry

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    Goldman and O’Shea

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    Herrera and Gonzales

    >95% of votes in

  • Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

  • Dem. Primary

    >95% of votes in

    Rep. Primary

    Advanced to runoff

    Blewett and Day

    >95% of votes in

  • Rep. Primary

    >95% of votes in

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